Thursday 15 April 2010

NEW POLL PUTS TORIES WELL AHEAD

On the eve of tonight’s first ever leaders’ television debate, the most comprehensive survey of swing seats since the campaign began showed David Cameron comfortably ahead. The poll by Crosby/Textor was carried out in 100 marginal seats; 80 held by Labour and 20 by the Liberal Democrats. 

43% of voters questioned said they would vote 
Conservative, 31% Labour and 20% Lib Dem. 

Labour have dropped five points since the 2005 election in these seats, while the Tories have gained seven points, the poll showed. The results suggest the Conservatives are much more likely to achieve an outright majority at the election than previously thought. 

One recent poll indicated that the Tory lead had narrowed to just three points, making a hung parliament the most likely result. However, it is in the marginal constituencies - where pollsters believe the election will be won or lost - that the Conservatives have concentrated most of their efforts.  This latest poll appears to suggest that the strategy - masterminded by Lord Ashcroft - is paying off.

The new poll also predicts that turnout in the marginals is likely to be better than many have predicted with 65 per cent of those questioned saying they would definitely vote. A high turnout is likely to favour the Conservatives who need to win 117 seats from other parties to secure an overall majority. The party needs a national swing of almost seven per cent to achieve this. 

As part of the unique poll for the Telegraph, Crosby/Textor told voters who their candidates are before asking them who they would vote for. This gives a more accurate result because in marginal seats voters are more likely to be loyal to individual MPs than parties. The poll found that the Tories would pick up 74 of the 100 seats from Labour. However, they would not pick up any of the seats held by Liberal Democrats. 

Despite fears that public distrust of MPs could result in a low turnout, the poll also indicates that many more may vote than in the two previous elections. In addition to the 65 per cent of those polled who said they were certain to vote, another eight per cent they were likely to. That means voter turnout could top 70 per cent, the highest turnout since 1997.

The survey was carried out over four days to yesterday, taking in the launches of the two main party manifestos. 


So finally we get the truth - and that's just the key marginals - we're looking at a large majority for the Tories, no matter how much the Lefty MSM would like their beloved Labour communist cunts to win - so bye bye Brownarse, bye bye Balls, bye bye the whole fucking lot of you - get out - fuck the fuck off! CUNTS!!

17 comments:

Barking Spider said...

good morning barking this is good news :)  it would be great to see the back of these scum bags

Barking Spider said...

Good news indeed and rather exonerates us bloggers with better ideas than the shit MSM.

Barking Spider said...

This poll has cheered me up, thanks Barking Spider!

Barking Spider said...

You're very welcome, Dean, it cheered me up too.... a lot! :-P

Barking Spider said...

It certainly does, OR, it was just so obvious that those other polls had to be skewed in favour of Brown's bastards! ;)

Barking Spider said...

It really looks like they are history this time, MM, no matter what crap the MSM are feeding us! :)

Barking Spider said...

Still not going to vote for Camerons Tories though, I'll probably vote UKIP, a real conservative party.

Barking Spider said...

I understand where you're coming from, QM, but I want to be sure that the present shower are kicked out for good. :-P

I do think, however, that UKIP will be in a much stronger position next time. ;)

Barking Spider said...

See what happens post debate.

Barking Spider said...

Hi Spidey:
It's good to see you feeling positive about your elections.  I hope things work out for you. ;)

Barking Spider said...

LOL... that was fine till the Times did it's survey to find that although your friends Labour had fallen through a great big hole in the floor at 27% (bless), Dave had slipped back to 36, with Nick, the cool dude at 35....

Maybe a week is a long time in politics, but a debate on telly can't half cock up your chances.

Barking Spider said...

Thanks, TCL, I sincerely hope so, too. :)

Barking Spider said...

The Times is a pretty damned Lefty paper, though, Tristan..... interesting that the Sun announced a YouGov snap poll result within five minutes of the debate ending. That one had Cameron as the clear winner, Clegg was a respectable second and Brown a dismal last.

In the end, the only poll that matters is on 6th May. ;)

Barking Spider said...

How did the debate go, Spidey? I haven't been around enough today to get a good read on it. I hope, for your sake, Brown pissed himself.

Barking Spider said...

Oh, yes, mate, he made a complete twat of himself and ended up way down at the bottom of the heap! :-P

I found the debate very dull and extremely sterile, however, having said that, their body language was revealing - Brown was his usual aggressive self, Cameron was very cool-headed and I thought that Clegg was just a typical Liberal although the sheeple have swallowed his crap so far. *DONT_KNOW*

So.... Clegg is doing well but Cameron will still win the election - the poll of the 100 key marginals tells us all we really need to know - comfortable majority for the Tories. ;)

Barking Spider said...

I'm just catching up now and seeing that Clegg appears to have won the debate and now the media is calling him an overnight "star." My question is: What's the difference between "Labour" and "Liberal Democrats" over there: Socialism light and Socialism hard or vice versa?

Barking Spider said...

<span>They are a weird party, SB, some of their policies, particularly with taxation, immigration and the EU, are as far Left if not further left than Labour - other issues like civil liberty are more closely related to Tory thinking, so, like Blair, they are trying to appear to be all things to all men. *DONT_KNOW*  
 
I think the fact that this has happened is purely symptomatic of the public's contempt for both Labour and Tory politicians in the wake of the expenses scandal and I'm sure the LibDum boost won't last until the election. ;)  
 
Clegg is now under pressure to keep up this performance and not fall into any political quicksand over the next three weeks...... a tall order.... :-P </span>